Moldova’s Maia Sandu Faces Pro-Russia Challenge in Elections

Moldova’s upcoming parliamentary elections on March 3, 2024, present a significant challenge for the ruling pro-European party led by President Maia Sandu. A recent poll indicates a competitive race against pro-Russia factions advocating for closer ties with Moscow. As the election approaches, a substantial portion of voters remains undecided, complicating the political landscape.

Poll Results Indicate Tight Race

The opinion poll conducted by the firm Idata reveals that Sandu’s Party of Action and Solidarity holds 24.9% support, closely followed by the pro-Russia Patriotic Bloc at 24.7%. The Alternative Bloc, accused of harboring a pro-Kremlin agenda, garnered 7.2% of voter support, while the Our Party, led by the former mayor of Balti, has 5.4%.

Notably, 26.6% of voters remain undecided, a factor that could sway the election outcome. When considering only those who are decided, the Patriotic Bloc slightly leads with 33.9% compared to Sandu’s party at 33.6%.

Political Context and Challenges Ahead

Sandu, who has prioritized discussions on European Union membership by 2030, has openly criticized Russia for its invasion of Ukraine and alleged interference in Moldova’s electoral process. In response to the rising cost of living, opposition parties have intensified their rhetoric, highlighting economic hardships faced by citizens.

Prime Minister Dorin Recean has accused Russia of attempting to undermine Moldova’s sovereignty by funneling millions of euros into the country to influence the election. “The Kremlin is also in the midst of this election campaign to gain power over Moldova by circumventing its sovereign choice,” Recean stated during a recent cabinet meeting.

In contrast, Russian officials have denied any efforts to sway the election results, instead accusing Moldova’s government of suppressing opposition voices and fostering anti-Russian sentiment. In a diplomatic move, Moscow summoned Moldova’s ambassador to express discontent over Chisinau’s refusal to allow Russian representatives to serve as election observers.

Political analysts suggest that if Sandu’s party fails to secure a majority in the 101-seat assembly, she may consider forming a coalition with the Our Party, rather than appointing a pro-Russian prime minister.

In the previous elections, Sandu was re-elected, and a referendum on EU membership saw substantial support, particularly from Moldovans abroad. As voters head to the polls this Sunday, the outcome remains uncertain, with both pro-European and pro-Russian forces vying for influence in Moldova’s future.